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Brazil's P1 coronavirus variant mutating, may become more dangerous study

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RIO DE JANEIRO -— Brazil’s P1 coronavírus variant, behind a deadly coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) surge in the Latin American country that has raised international alarm, is mutating in ways that could make it better able to evade antibodies, according to scientists studying the virus.

Research conducted by the public health institute Fiocruz into the variants circulating in Brazil found mutations in the spike region of the virus that is used to enter and infect cells.

Those changes, the scientists said, could make the virus more resistant to vaccines — which target the spike protein — with potentially grave implications for the severity of the outbreak in Latin America’s most populous nation.

“We believe it’s another escape mechanism the virus is creating to evade the response of antibodies,” said Felipe Naveca, one of the authors of the study and part of Fiocruz in the Amazon city of Manaus, where the P1 variant is believed to have originated.

Mr. Naveca said the changes appeared to be similar to the mutations seen in the even more aggressive South African variant, against which studies have shown some vaccines have substantially reduced efficacy.

“This is particularly worrying because the virus is continuing to accelerate in its evolution,” he added.

Studies have shown the P1 variant to be as much as 2.5 times more contagious than the original coronavirus and more resistant to antibodies.

On Tuesday, France suspended all flights to and from Brazil in a bid to prevent the variant’s spread as Latin America’s largest economy becomes increasingly isolated.

The variant, which has quickly become dominant in Brazil, is thought to be a large factor behind a massive second wave that has brought the country’s death toll to over 350,000 — the second highest in the world behind the United States.

Brazil’s outbreak is also increasingly affecting younger people, with hospital data showing that in March more than half of all patients in intensive care were aged 40 or younger.

For Ester Sabino, a scientist at the faculty of medicine of the University of Sao Paulo who led the first genome sequencing of the coronavirus in Brazil, the mutations of the P1 variant are not surprising given the fast pace of transmission.

“If you have a high level of transmission, like you have in Brazil at the moment, your risk of new mutations and variants increases,” she said.

So far vaccines, such as those developed by AstraZeneca and China’s Sinovac, have proven effective against the Brazilian variant but Ms. Sabino said further mutations could put that at risk.

“It’s a real possibility,” she said. — Reuters

FROM: MICROSOFT NEWS

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[XX='arsenal1205, c: 1087486, m: 1107779'][/XX] Tsk. Pag lumakas lalo yung resistant nun sa antibodies, good game na talaga.
 
Tama, dahil natural kasi yon mangyari. Basta ang logic sa ngayon (in general), habang may infected at may nahahawahang ibang hosts, patuloy yung virus mutations and possible variants. Walang katapusan yang "natural" process na yan hangga't patuloy yung paglipat sa mga hosts, at walang nakakaalam kung ano ang resulta ng susunod na mutations/variants unless mangyari na. Most of the time, nagiging delikado yung mutations/variants at dumarami pa sila, tulad ngayon na worldwide, at lalo pa kung walang sapat na panangga o gamot. Ang importante lang, malaman ng maaga yung maaaring maidulot ng mga mutations/variants thru quick genomic sequencing at dissemination of information.

Kaya nga effective vaccines at therapeutic/prophylactic drugs ang kailangan. But it takes time to "apply as a vaccine"/produce/approve for distribution, as well as revise the next generation of vaccines (+ boosters) because of the mutations. Kahit yung influenza ay ganyan din na mas mababa pa yung efficacy ng "normal" vaccines, na 40 - 60% lang. Yung mga EUA vaccines for COVID-19 ay ang tataas pa ng efficacies. May limitadong antas lang na proteksyon ang bakuna, and 50% is good enough (based on standards) lalo pa sa panahon ngayon na kailangan yon at patuloy yung kanyang pagbabago. Be thankful na merong high efficacy emergency vaccines. It's best to be protected than with nothing!

Itong sakit na ito, dahil + "8 -10" days (on the average) na maaaring infectuous ang pasyente kaya malaki ang tsansa niyang makahawa sa tagal ng "initial to recovery period" bukod pa sa maraming asymptomatic to mild cases at maliit yung dami ng namamatay. Tuwing flu season nga, milyon din yung infection kada taon, dahil ganito rin yung sitwasyon no matter how low or high the virus transmission is. Ang pagkakaiba lang ay may gamot siya para di lumala o makamatay, either thru your flu shots or off-the-counter drugs. (Isipin mo rin, kung mabilis mamatay yung pasyente, maliit yung tsansang niyang makahawa. Dahil kung patay na yung host/s, katapusan na rin noong virus. Pero ayaw naman nating mangyari yon!)

Yang COVID-19, kung ano ang tagal nyan sa mundo, ganyan din katagal hanggang siya ay tuluyang maging "safe to live with" eka nga. Di na yan mawawala sa paligid kahit maging normal pa ulit tayong namumuhay.

Kaya ngayon, expect the worst, but be ready! Noon umiiwas lang tayo, pero ngayon kasama na yung pagbabakuna sa pagpipiliang kasagutan sa kung ano pang deadly variant/s na maglabasan pa sa balita. Hindi mo naman alam kung anong variant ang maaring makahawa sa iyo kung sakali. Think practical!
 
Ang magagawa na lang natin is keep ourselves safe all the time. sumunod na lang sa health/safety protocols. At mag palakas ng resistensya ng katawan...
 
Dapat kasi, baguhin na natin dahan-dahan yung pagtrato sa pandemya ngayong may gamot na - kaysa noon. Ang kailangan ngayon ay magkaroon ng "proactive mindset" ang tao ayon sa mga developments in general, hindi yung problemahin yung mutations/variants na yan. It's already considered in the category of a curable disease since may vaccines na.
We haven't felt yet the effect, but many countries are already slowly recovering because of the vaccines - look at the worldmeter data trends. Nahuhuli lang tayo dahil sa ating pagkukulang.
Huwag lang natin kalimutan yung basic protocols for prevention, like the rest of the epidemics we know in the past. Wala namang halos pinagkaiba yan sa recurring (similar) transmittable diseases para iwasan, na tuloy-tuloy din ang development ng vaccines. Kaya lang naman na-pressure tayo noon dahil wala pa yang gamot na pangontra. Kumpara mo yan sa heart disease at cancer, tinga lang yang COVID-19 sa dami ng namamatay kada taon. We only take in consoderation its threat as a new contagious disease.
If preventive measures don't fully work, the last resort is make the most on the cure available. Yan dapat ang imulat sa kaisipan ng tao na tangkilitin, at mapamahagi ng mabilisan. Kailangan din ng malakas na kamulatan at pasensya no matter how bad it (yung mutations) becomes and how long it takes to solve it, from the next sets of vaccines and other approved/reliable treatments that may come.
Knowledge helps, but it's not enough. We should still act accordingly to get the right results.
 
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